Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 418.32 | 14223 |
|
| Goals | 0.94 | 32 |
|
| Assists | 0.79 | 27 |
|
| Saves | 1.62 | 55 |
|
| Shots | 3.09 | 105 |
|
| Demos | 0.53 | 18 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 418.32 | #73 / 1215 | #12 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.94 | #204 / 1215 | #27 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.79 | #93 / 1215 | #14 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.62 | #163 / 1215 | #12 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.53 | #793 / 1215 | #105 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (34 → ~57 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (47 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 14223 | 23844 | 23460 | 23460 | 23307 – 23613 |
| Goals | 32 | 54 | 53 | 54 | 45 – 60 |
| Assists | 27 | 45 | 44 | 46 | 38 – 51 |
| Saves | 55 | 92 | 90 | 91 | 81 – 100 |
| Shots | 105 | 176 | 173 | 176 | 160 – 186 |
| Demos | 18 | 30 | 32 | 31 | 26 – 38 |
| MVPs | 13 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 16 – 25 |
From 30 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 361.7 |
| Avg boost | 50.7 |
| Boost stolen / game | 429.5 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.6% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1472.9 |
| % supersonic | 8.7% |
| % time high in air | 3.6% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2994.3 |
| % time attacking third | 19.3% |
| Demos / game | 0.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 34.9% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Prospect | 47 | 1.0 | 0.85 | 1.47 | 351 |
| S26 | Prospect | 30 | 1.03 | 0.83 | 1.63 | 362 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.03 | 0.93 | 0.89 – 0.96 |
| Assists/game | 0.83 | 0.75 | 0.7 – 0.81 |
| Saves/game | 1.63 | 1.51 | 1.39 – 1.62 |
| Shots/game | 3.03 | 2.88 | 2.78 – 3.0 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pizza Flavored | S25 | Prospect | 1.0 | 0.85 | 1.47 | 0.69 |
| MatrixzTheBad | S17 | Rival | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.65 | 1.04 |
| Mezmer | S24 | Elite | 0.92 | 0.77 | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Cognitixn | S22 | Rival | 0.93 | 0.8 | 1.47 | 1.24 |
| doctorprofessor_ | S24 | Rival | 0.84 | 0.81 | 1.51 | 1.28 |
| BaldManStreamer | S21 | Veteran | 1.0 | 0.79 | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| bev | S25 | Veteran | 0.87 | 0.68 | 1.56 | 1.30 |
| imakuu | S26 | Elite | 0.77 | 0.77 | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Ary | S26 | Rival | 0.96 | 0.88 | 1.62 | 1.32 |
| Ken Whiffey Jr. | S25 | Veteran | 0.89 | 0.7 | 1.76 | 1.32 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.