Pizza Flavored

Prospect - Honey Badgers - 22-12 (0.647)
29 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 34 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 29/100 Tier dominance: 89th (+1.3 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Star all-rounder
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
13
38% of games
Shot %
30%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 418.32 14223
91st
Goals 0.94 32
79th
Assists 0.79 27
89th
Saves 1.62 55
91st
Shots 3.09 105
92nd
Demos 0.53 18
21st

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points418.32 #73 / 1215 #12 / 161
Goals0.94 #204 / 1215 #27 / 161
Assists0.79 #93 / 1215 #14 / 161
Saves1.62 #163 / 1215 #12 / 161
Demos0.53 #793 / 1215 #105 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (34 → ~57 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (47 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 14223 23844 23460 23460 23307 – 23613
Goals 32 54 53 54 45 – 60
Assists 27 45 44 46 38 – 51
Saves 55 92 90 91 81 – 100
Shots 105 176 173 176 160 – 186
Demos 18 30 32 31 26 – 38
MVPs 13 22 21 21 16 – 25

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 74 /100

From 30 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 361.7
Avg boost 50.7
Boost stolen / game 429.5
% time at 0 boost 9.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1472.9
% supersonic 8.7%
% time high in air 3.6%
Avg distance to ball 2994.3
% time attacking third 19.3%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 34.9%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Prospect47 1.00.851.47 351
S26Prospect30 1.030.831.63 362

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.03 0.93 0.89 – 0.96
Assists/game0.83 0.75 0.7 – 0.81
Saves/game1.63 1.51 1.39 – 1.62
Shots/game3.03 2.88 2.78 – 3.0

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Pizza Flavored S25Prospect 1.00.851.47 0.69
MatrixzTheBad S17Rival 1.10.71.65 1.04
Mezmer S24Elite 0.920.771.29 1.20
Cognitixn S22Rival 0.930.81.47 1.24
doctorprofessor_ S24Rival 0.840.811.51 1.28
BaldManStreamer S21Veteran 1.00.791.32 1.30
bev S25Veteran 0.870.681.56 1.30
imakuu S26Elite 0.770.771.69 1.31
Ary S26Rival 0.960.881.62 1.32
Ken Whiffey Jr. S25Veteran 0.890.71.76 1.32

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.