Ryan

Prospect - Ankle Biters - 10-21 (0.323)
18 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 31 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 18/100 Tier dominance: 14th (-1.1 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
16% of games
Shot %
30%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 306.68 9507
32nd
Goals 0.58 18
26th
Assists 0.26 8
6th
Saves 1.65 51
92nd
Shots 1.94 60
17th
Demos 1.35 42
86th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points306.68 #720 / 1215 #90 / 161
Goals0.58 #724 / 1215 #97 / 161
Assists0.26 #877 / 1215 #125 / 161
Saves1.65 #145 / 1215 #10 / 161
Demos1.35 #201 / 1215 #18 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (31 → ~52 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 9507 15947 16050 15922 – 16179
Goals 18 30 31 25 – 37
Assists 8 13 15 11 – 19
Saves 51 86 84 75 – 93
Shots 60 101 103 92 – 113
Demos 42 70 69 60 – 77
MVPs 5 8 8 5 – 11

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 61 /100

From 27 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 398.5
Avg boost 48.2
Boost stolen / game 455.0
% time at 0 boost 15.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1465.7
% supersonic 15.0%
% time high in air 3.0%
Avg distance to ball 3090.0
% time attacking third 15.7%
Demos / game 1.3
Demos taken / game 0.6
Shooting % 37.7%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)334136-129 51% 393
RSC (official)72-3 40% 337
Non-RSC ranked 3v341-1 50% 246
Non-RSC other323133-125 52% 396

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.63 0.6 0.52 – 0.69
Assists/game0.3 0.36 0.3 – 0.42
Saves/game1.74 1.6 1.56 – 1.67
Shots/game1.81 1.93 1.75 – 2.14

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Evil Gooby S22Veteran 0.450.311.56 1.21
M1ke1sMy1ke S25Veteran 0.60.41.56 1.34
Captain Daddy S23Elite 0.520.241.62 1.39
newk . . . S25Elite 0.710.291.48 1.51
SGE Nemesis S19Veteran 0.750.381.75 1.51
Eskonor. S26Prospect 0.50.361.5 1.62
ObiWan_Can_O_Bee S23Challenger 0.690.311.6 1.62
Onyx Raptoor S21Veteran 0.620.51.62 1.62
Millk_Kup S26Elite 0.780.481.83 1.65
Chillin S25Elite 0.760.351.47 1.65

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.