TTV/DucksNotKeys

Amateur - HR Violation - 5-4 (0.556)
1 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 9 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 1/100 Tier dominance: 26th (-0.7 SD) Projects as: Amateur Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
11% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Amateur)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 257.33 2316
23rd
Goals 0.44 4
13th
Assists 0.33 3
28th
Saves 1.0 9
68th
Shots 1.56 14
23rd
Demos 1.0 9
70th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Amateur
Points257.33 #885 / 1215 #36 / 61
Goals0.44 #847 / 1215 #40 / 61
Assists0.33 #813 / 1215 #33 / 61
Saves1.0 #738 / 1215 #14 / 61
Demos1.0 #387 / 1215 #12 / 61

Season projection

Low confidence

69% of the season is played (9 → ~13 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (30 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 2316 3345 3420 3420 3372 – 3467
Goals 4 6 6 6 4 – 9
Assists 3 4 5 4 3 – 6
Saves 9 13 13 13 10 – 16
Shots 14 20 21 21 17 – 25
Demos 9 13 12 13 10 – 15
MVPs 1 1 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

From 9 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.

Boost / min 370.5
Avg boost 56.1
Boost stolen / game 326.2
% time at 0 boost 10.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1396.0
% supersonic 11.0%
% time high in air 1.2%
Avg distance to ball 3358.3
% time attacking third 16.5%
Demos / game 1.0
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 22.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Amateur13 0.310.380.85 306
S25Amateur17 0.530.180.88 330
S26Amateur9 0.440.331.0 370

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)388132-177 43% 258
RSC (official)6426-22 54% 263
Non-RSC ranked 3v342-2 50% 315
Non-RSC other320104-153 40% 257

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.44 0.47 0.44 – 0.55
Assists/game0.33 0.33 0.3 – 0.43
Saves/game1.0 1.06 0.94 – 1.18
Shots/game1.56 1.65 1.53 – 1.79

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
JonathanVanDyk S24Challenger 0.50.311.0 1.00
Pulsa4r S26Contender 0.430.431.1 1.00
Light_Lawyer S26Veteran 0.210.361.07 1.06
S3EZ S20Challenger 0.440.441.06 1.07
mogulmaniac5480 S22Rival 0.380.381.25 1.12
SailingSteven S13Amateur 0.440.220.87 1.24
StickisBad S18Prospect 0.470.471.21 1.31
Benjamen W. S17Prospect 0.50.251.12 1.31
Ghostie S21Rival 0.420.421.08 1.35
Salty Num Num S26Contender 0.310.470.91 1.36

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.