Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 256.03 | 9217 |
|
| Goals | 0.36 | 13 |
|
| Assists | 0.47 | 17 |
|
| Saves | 0.94 | 34 |
|
| Shots | 1.78 | 64 |
|
| Demos | 1.08 | 39 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 256.03 | #889 / 1215 | #97 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.36 | #886 / 1215 | #103 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.47 | #603 / 1215 | #60 / 134 |
| Saves | 0.94 | #812 / 1215 | #85 / 134 |
| Demos | 1.08 | #339 / 1215 | #25 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (36 → ~56 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (87 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9217 | 14338 | 14560 | 14560 | 14447 – 14673 |
| Goals | 13 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 17 – 26 |
| Assists | 17 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 22 – 31 |
| Saves | 34 | 53 | 54 | 54 | 47 – 60 |
| Shots | 64 | 100 | 102 | 100 | 92 – 111 |
| Demos | 39 | 61 | 60 | 60 | 53 – 67 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 7 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 404.4 |
| Avg boost | 51.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 482.5 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.9% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1435.5 |
| % supersonic | 12.0% |
| % time high in air | 2.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3341.8 |
| % time attacking third | 16.8% |
| Demos / game | 1.2 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 19.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S22 | Challenger | 4 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 1.0 | 353 |
| S23 | Challenger | 12 | 0.33 | 0.17 | 0.58 | 370 |
| S24 | Prospect | 19 | 0.58 | 0.26 | 0.95 | 405 |
| S25 | Contender | 56 | 0.64 | 0.36 | 1.41 | 396 |
| S26 | Contender | 32 | 0.31 | 0.47 | 0.91 | 404 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.38 – 0.5 |
| Assists/game | 0.47 | 0.43 | 0.39 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 0.91 | 1.09 | 1.0 – 1.23 |
| Shots/game | 1.78 | 1.75 | 1.58 – 1.94 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghostie | S21 | Rival | 0.42 | 0.42 | 1.08 | 1.21 |
| Pulsa4r | S26 | Contender | 0.43 | 0.43 | 1.1 | 1.30 |
| TTV/DucksNotKeys | S26 | Amateur | 0.44 | 0.33 | 1.0 | 1.36 |
| 22 | S26 | Rival | 0.18 | 0.27 | 0.82 | 1.36 |
| Enthalpy-H | S23 | Challenger | 0.33 | 0.4 | 1.27 | 1.51 |
| B0A._. | S24 | Challenger | 0.49 | 0.43 | 0.94 | 1.52 |
| RudeBoiPyro | S18 | Rival | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.94 | 1.54 |
| Novarchite | S19 | Prospect | 0.38 | 0.31 | 0.75 | 1.57 |
| Nehtaro | S17 | Master | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Salty Num Num | S24 | Prospect | 0.58 | 0.26 | 0.95 | 1.71 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.