Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 298.7 | 8065 |
|
| Goals | 0.56 | 15 |
|
| Assists | 0.74 | 20 |
|
| Saves | 1.19 | 32 |
|
| Shots | 2.0 | 54 |
|
| Demos | 1.41 | 38 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 298.7 | #762 / 1215 | #109 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.56 | #750 / 1215 | #104 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.74 | #152 / 1215 | #20 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.19 | #588 / 1215 | #85 / 166 |
| Demos | 1.41 | #165 / 1215 | #21 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (27 → ~45 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (152 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8065 | 13442 | 13617 | 13617 | 13499 – 13734 |
| Goals | 15 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 21 – 31 |
| Assists | 20 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 27 – 38 |
| Saves | 32 | 53 | 54 | 53 | 46 – 61 |
| Shots | 54 | 90 | 92 | 91 | 82 – 102 |
| Demos | 38 | 63 | 62 | 67 | 54 – 69 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 9 |
From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 387.2 |
| Avg boost | 44.8 |
| Boost stolen / game | 578.2 |
| % time at 0 boost | 14.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1429.2 |
| % supersonic | 8.8% |
| % time high in air | 3.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2968.9 |
| % time attacking third | 21.8% |
| Demos / game | 1.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 30.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Challenger | 45 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.96 | 387 |
| S24 | Challenger | 60 | 0.62 | 0.37 | 1.17 | 415 |
| S25 | Challenger | 47 | 0.77 | 0.55 | 1.28 | 428 |
| S26 | Challenger | 23 | 0.48 | 0.65 | 1.22 | 387 |
| Source | Games | Record | Win % | Score/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifetime (all) | 6052 | 2252-2681 | 46% | 319 |
| RSC (official) | 41 | 13-18 | 42% | 268 |
| Non-RSC ranked 3v3 | 690 | 277-297 | 48% | 289 |
| Non-RSC other | 5321 | 1962-2366 | 45% | 323 |
From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.48 – 0.61 |
| Assists/game | 0.65 | 0.56 | 0.5 – 0.61 |
| Saves/game | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.13 – 1.33 |
| Shots/game | 1.74 | 1.93 | 1.83 – 2.1 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherd | S24 | Master | 0.57 | 0.6 | 1.26 | 1.19 |
| Chung | S18 | Rival | 0.64 | 0.55 | 1.18 | 1.25 |
| Free. | S21 | Challenger | 0.44 | 0.44 | 1.44 | 1.33 |
| AK ._. | S21 | Elite | 0.61 | 0.72 | 1.28 | 1.38 |
| Free. | S20 | Challenger | 0.56 | 0.5 | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| SludgeMixFuzz | S26 | Prospect | 0.47 | 0.53 | 1.4 | 1.53 |
| dyl | S18 | Challenger | 0.67 | 0.56 | 1.22 | 1.53 |
| Shogun | S23 | Challenger | 0.46 | 0.62 | 1.15 | 1.55 |
| iSilently | S26 | Contender | 0.62 | 0.46 | 1.04 | 1.56 |
| Chicken | S25 | Veteran | 0.5 | 0.56 | 1.29 | 1.57 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.