Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 352.94 | 11294 |
|
| Goals | 1.03 | 33 |
|
| Assists | 0.59 | 19 |
|
| Saves | 0.88 | 28 |
|
| Shots | 3.03 | 97 |
|
| Demos | 1.03 | 33 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 352.94 | #397 / 1213 | #58 / 164 |
| Goals | 1.03 | #134 / 1213 | #18 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.59 | #369 / 1213 | #53 / 164 |
| Saves | 0.88 | #836 / 1213 | #122 / 164 |
| Demos | 1.03 | #378 / 1213 | #54 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (32 → ~57 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (113 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11294 | 20117 | 20070 | 20070 | 19917 – 20223 |
| Goals | 33 | 59 | 57 | 57 | 49 – 65 |
| Assists | 19 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 27 – 40 |
| Saves | 28 | 50 | 52 | 51 | 44 – 60 |
| Shots | 97 | 173 | 170 | 171 | 156 – 184 |
| Demos | 33 | 59 | 59 | 61 | 51 – 67 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 10 |
From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 415.2 |
| Avg boost | 51.0 |
| Boost stolen / game | 563.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1494.5 |
| % supersonic | 11.2% |
| % time high in air | 4.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3097.7 |
| % time attacking third | 22.4% |
| Demos / game | 1.1 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 33.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Veteran | 10 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 338 |
| S22 | Rival | 4 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 392 |
| S23 | Rival | 54 | 0.85 | 0.65 | 1.11 | 397 |
| S25 | Rival | 49 | 0.8 | 0.47 | 0.94 | 406 |
| S26 | Rival | 31 | 1.03 | 0.58 | 0.9 | 415 |
| Source | Games | Record | Win % | Score/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifetime (all) | 1080 | 461-402 | 53% | 335 |
| RSC (official) | 12 | 5-4 | 56% | 410 |
| Non-RSC ranked 3v3 | 42 | 13-21 | 38% | 278 |
| Non-RSC other | 1026 | 443-377 | 54% | 337 |
From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.03 | 1.0 | 0.94 – 1.07 |
| Assists/game | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.53 – 0.65 |
| Saves/game | 0.9 | 1.02 | 0.93 – 1.11 |
| Shots/game | 3.06 | 2.96 | 2.87 – 3.02 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| chawes. | S24 | Elite | 0.98 | 0.65 | 0.95 | 0.98 |
| Free. | S26 | Challenger | 1.19 | 0.55 | 1.1 | 1.06 |
| Meta.RL- | S24 | Challenger | 1.02 | 0.54 | 1.06 | 1.07 |
| Jmh187- | S24 | Rival | 0.84 | 0.51 | 1.05 | 1.09 |
| Phelpsy | S25 | Elite | 0.94 | 0.67 | 1.1 | 1.10 |
| imtobad00 | S23 | Challenger | 0.98 | 0.64 | 1.2 | 1.17 |
| Fish | S20 | Rival | 1.25 | 0.58 | 0.96 | 1.18 |
| Larkspur | S23 | Prospect | 1.03 | 0.73 | 1.14 | 1.19 |
| Heyzisthename | S26 | Veteran | 0.84 | 0.62 | 1.19 | 1.21 |
| chawes. | S18 | Veteran | 1.12 | 0.56 | 1.06 | 1.21 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.