XtraCrispyRL

Rival - Whisker Goblins - 9-10 (0.474)
57 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 19 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 57/100 Tier dominance: 90th (+1.2 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Striker / Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
6
32% of games
Shot %
35%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 411.26 7814
91st
Goals 1.16 22
96th
Assists 0.74 14
86th
Saves 1.42 27
63rd
Shots 3.32 63
94th
Demos 1.0 19
53rd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points411.26 #89 / 1215 #12 / 164
Goals1.16 #56 / 1215 #6 / 164
Assists0.74 #155 / 1215 #19 / 164
Saves1.42 #338 / 1215 #50 / 164
Demos1.0 #387 / 1215 #55 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (19 → ~34 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (73 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 7814 13983 13672 13672 13549 – 13794
Goals 22 39 38 39 31 – 44
Assists 14 25 24 24 19 – 29
Saves 27 48 48 48 41 – 55
Shots 63 113 109 114 98 – 120
Demos 19 34 34 32 28 – 40
MVPs 6 11 10 10 7 – 13

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 57 /100

From 15 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 304.6
Avg boost 52.1
Boost stolen / game 382.3
% time at 0 boost 7.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1445.1
% supersonic 10.8%
% time high in air 4.0%
Avg distance to ball 2977.9
% time attacking third 19.4%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 35.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Challenger46 1.240.631.52 342
S25Rival27 0.820.481.15 362
S26Rival15 1.00.871.53 305

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.0 0.98 0.86 – 1.03
Assists/game0.87 0.75 0.69 – 0.83
Saves/game1.53 1.38 1.33 – 1.62
Shots/game3.13 2.98 2.89 – 3.11

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
ShinxX403 S24Challenger 0.90.851.36 1.24
1ssh1 S19Veteran 0.830.831.33 1.37
Pizza Flavored S25Prospect 1.00.851.47 1.38
Mike-Da-Ox S23Challenger 0.940.751.75 1.39
Cruz. S26Rival 0.830.721.56 1.41
Dilpikle6801 S26Rival 1.110.751.46 1.47
BaldManStreamer S21Veteran 1.00.791.32 1.50
avatarmanz S19Master 0.850.851.54 1.50
Dunnie14 S19Rival 0.890.891.22 1.52
Sky S20Rival 1.040.631.33 1.53

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.