Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 276.3 | 5526 |
|
| Goals | 0.55 | 11 |
|
| Assists | 0.25 | 5 |
|
| Saves | 1.1 | 22 |
|
| Shots | 2.05 | 41 |
|
| Demos | 1.2 | 24 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 276.3 | #836 / 1215 | #110 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.55 | #758 / 1215 | #105 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.25 | #878 / 1215 | #126 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.1 | #683 / 1215 | #83 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.2 | #263 / 1215 | #31 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (20 → ~33 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (161 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 5526 | 9118 | 9320 | 9320 | 9224 – 9415 |
| Goals | 11 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 14 – 23 |
| Assists | 5 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 6 – 13 |
| Saves | 22 | 36 | 37 | 37 | 31 – 43 |
| Shots | 41 | 68 | 69 | 70 | 61 – 77 |
| Demos | 24 | 40 | 39 | 38 | 33 – 44 |
| MVPs | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 – 2 |
From 17 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 273.7 |
| Avg boost | 52.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 467.1 |
| % time at 0 boost | 6.7% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1318.2 |
| % supersonic | 4.9% |
| % time high in air | 2.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2795.0 |
| % time attacking third | 21.9% |
| Demos / game | 1.2 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 29.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Prospect | 27 | 0.89 | 0.63 | 1.41 | 275 |
| S21 | Prospect | 8 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 313 |
| S22 | Prospect | 13 | 1.0 | 0.31 | 1.31 | 307 |
| S23 | Prospect | 41 | 0.73 | 0.44 | 1.1 | 300 |
| S24 | Challenger | 41 | 0.61 | 0.46 | 1.17 | 312 |
| S25 | Prospect | 31 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.94 | 319 |
| S26 | Prospect | 17 | 0.59 | 0.24 | 1.12 | 274 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.59 | 0.61 | 0.5 – 0.74 |
| Assists/game | 0.23 | 0.36 | 0.31 – 0.43 |
| Saves/game | 1.12 | 1.07 | 0.97 – 1.15 |
| Shots/game | 2.12 | 2.1 | 1.87 – 2.19 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MrAnderpants | S22 | Amateur | 0.76 | 0.32 | 0.82 | 1.22 |
| Ander | S26 | Amateur | 0.76 | 0.45 | 1.14 | 1.28 |
| MrAnderpants | S23 | Amateur | 0.54 | 0.43 | 1.08 | 1.41 |
| IBRN_Death | S24 | Challenger | 0.48 | 0.33 | 1.19 | 1.45 |
| Pad1wanX | S18 | Amateur | 0.42 | 0.32 | 0.9 | 1.48 |
| EvilSuperman_ | S26 | Contender | 0.62 | 0.33 | 1.0 | 1.55 |
| Piky Life88 | S24 | Prospect | 0.61 | 0.42 | 0.77 | 1.67 |
| Merioch | S26 | Prospect | 0.65 | 0.4 | 1.25 | 1.72 |
| Stale Popcorn | S22 | Contender | 0.6 | 0.29 | 1.13 | 1.72 |
| kgfan3 | S21 | Prospect | 0.79 | 0.36 | 1.07 | 1.72 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.