surreal

Premier - Capybaras - 12-14 (0.462)
99 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 26 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 99/100 Tier dominance: 88th (+1.7 SD) Projects as: Premier Role: Star all-rounder
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
11
42% of games
Shot %
31%

Per-game production (percentile within Premier)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 514.42 13375
96th
Goals 1.15 30
88th
Assists 0.77 20
87th
Saves 1.85 48
87th
Shots 3.69 96
92nd
Demos 0.81 21
21st

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Premier
Points514.42 #4 / 1213 #2 / 73
Goals1.15 #71 / 1213 #6 / 73
Assists0.77 #112 / 1213 #7 / 73
Saves1.85 #57 / 1213 #7 / 73
Demos0.81 #583 / 1213 #41 / 73

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (26 → ~40 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (91 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 13375 20577 20077 20077 19953 – 20202
Goals 30 46 45 46 39 – 51
Assists 20 31 30 31 25 – 35
Saves 48 74 72 72 65 – 80
Shots 96 148 145 147 134 – 155
Demos 21 32 34 32 28 – 39
MVPs 11 17 16 16 13 – 19

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 99 /100

From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 497.8
Avg boost 48.3
Boost stolen / game 631.7
% time at 0 boost 15.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1563.2
% supersonic 17.9%
% time high in air 7.9%
Avg distance to ball 2611.6
% time attacking third 20.9%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 1.4
Shooting % 31.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Premier47 1.020.811.25 489
S25Premier44 1.160.681.82 473
S26Premier26 1.150.771.85 498

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)218120-48 71% 502
RSC (official)22-0 100% 577
Non-RSC ranked 3v3117-1 88% 478
Non-RSC other205111-47 70% 503

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.15 1.12 0.92 – 1.22
Assists/game0.77 0.71 0.64 – 0.77
Saves/game1.85 1.67 1.5 – 1.82
Shots/game3.69 3.42 3.2 – 3.76

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
surreal S25Premier 1.160.681.82 0.75
Cadomac S22Premier 0.90.721.88 1.66
nave S22Master 1.040.821.5 1.73
Flame_RL10 S25Veteran 1.110.521.63 1.80
swah- S25Veteran 1.190.581.66 1.81
CantaloupeL0VER S23Elite 0.930.71.73 1.86
RiisenJT S26Challenger 0.840.841.52 1.88
Spooky S20Elite 0.830.921.58 1.88
phoenix S22Premier 1.110.771.66 1.95
DerpyAF S26Premier 1.290.861.36 1.96

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.