xr.

Prospect - Blacktips - 18-14 (0.562)
👤 Career - also played as xur 3rd man
26 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 26/100 Tier dominance: 72nd (+0.6 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
8
25% of games
Shot %
36%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 330.09 10563
46th
Goals 0.97 31
83rd
Assists 0.38 12
20th
Saves 0.84 27
11th
Shots 2.66 85
65th
Demos 0.62 20
28th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points330.09 #581 / 1215 #72 / 161
Goals0.97 #184 / 1215 #23 / 161
Assists0.38 #761 / 1215 #103 / 161
Saves0.84 #858 / 1215 #116 / 161
Demos0.62 #733 / 1215 #96 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (114 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 10563 17495 17497 17497 17365 – 17629
Goals 31 51 50 49 43 – 57
Assists 12 20 21 22 16 – 25
Saves 27 45 46 46 39 – 53
Shots 85 141 140 139 128 – 151
Demos 20 33 34 36 28 – 40
MVPs 8 13 13 13 9 – 16

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 63 /100

From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 395.9
Avg boost 49.9
Boost stolen / game 577.1
% time at 0 boost 9.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1561.2
% supersonic 12.2%
% time high in air 3.4%
Avg distance to ball 3124.7
% time attacking third 20.5%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 0.7
Shooting % 35.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Prospect59 0.710.831.15 359
S22Challenger23 0.480.391.35 360
S23Challenger32 0.440.620.72 369
S26Prospect31 0.970.390.84 396

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~53 OVR High confidence — inferred from 415 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 26.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)61082528-2401 51% 355
RSC (official)167-4 64% 335
Non-RSC ranked 3v3415145-167 46% 311
Non-RSC other56772376-2230 52% 358

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.97 0.88 0.8 – 1.0
Assists/game0.39 0.42 0.35 – 0.53
Saves/game0.84 1.0 0.89 – 1.06
Shots/game2.71 2.67 2.5 – 2.82

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Lone-LE S14Challenger 0.890.560.89 1.06
Mysty S26Challenger 0.870.391.0 1.14
Cr1m5on_RL S23Challenger 0.830.341.0 1.19
xihir0 S25Prospect 1.00.30.91 1.21
Synnicall S26Rival 0.910.350.91 1.26
Bricked Up Barry S22Rival 0.720.331.06 1.28
tiagosan _ S24Challenger 0.790.421.0 1.28
Pullis. S21Veteran 0.960.361.14 1.31
Kflip11 S23Challenger 0.760.410.98 1.31
Balynce S20Prospect 1.120.460.98 1.34

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.