Alya.

Rival - FA - 8-2 (0.800)
👤 Career - also played as Foxaftershadow
53 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 10 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 53/100 Tier dominance: 60th (+0.3 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
10% of games
Shot %
28%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 393.8 3938
84th
Goals 0.9 9
71st
Assists 0.6 6
61st
Saves 1.4 14
59th
Shots 3.2 32
91st
Demos 1.2 12
70th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points393.8 #149 / 1213 #21 / 164
Goals0.9 #264 / 1213 #38 / 164
Assists0.6 #347 / 1213 #50 / 164
Saves1.4 #354 / 1213 #55 / 164
Demos1.2 #269 / 1213 #38 / 164

Season projection

Low confidence

56% of the season is played (10 → ~18 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (22 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 3938 7088 6909 6909 6825 – 6993
Goals 9 16 16 16 12 – 20
Assists 6 11 11 11 7 – 14
Saves 14 25 25 24 20 – 30
Shots 32 58 55 56 48 – 63
Demos 12 22 21 19 16 – 26
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 4

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 75 /100

From 10 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 481.8
Avg boost 52.5
Boost stolen / game 458.5
% time at 0 boost 13.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1600.0
% supersonic 19.0%
% time high in air 5.4%
Avg distance to ball 2762.0
% time attacking third 21.0%
Demos / game 1.2
Demos taken / game 1.4
Shooting % 28.5%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Challenger22 0.910.681.04 435
S26Rival10 0.90.61.4 482

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)10553-34 61% 338
Non-RSC ranked 3v362-2 50% 173
Non-RSC other9951-32 61% 348

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.9 0.93 0.83 – 0.98
Assists/game0.6 0.61 0.54 – 0.7
Saves/game1.4 1.49 1.36 – 1.58
Shots/game3.2 2.92 2.83 – 3.07

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
donald. S24Elite 0.830.581.58 0.92
Ace! S23Premier 0.770.711.48 1.10
kolm S25Master 0.980.541.54 1.16
Zero . RL S26Challenger 1.00.421.33 1.19
Nahzey S24Elite 0.970.661.42 1.24
YOURDOOMED181 S17Challenger 0.920.51.58 1.25
Jolt S26Elite 0.780.531.44 1.28
cosmo6430 S26Veteran 0.720.621.66 1.30
Jimbo S26Master 0.780.591.5 1.32
T. S23Premier 0.850.521.27 1.33

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.