22

Rival - Barracudas - 4-11 (0.267)
45 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 15 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 45/100 Tier dominance: 5th (-1.5 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
7% of games
Shot %
27%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 249.47 3742
4th
Goals 0.47 7
13th
Assists 0.2 3
4th
Saves 1.07 16
16th
Shots 1.73 26
9th
Demos 1.33 20
77th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points249.47 #904 / 1215 #129 / 164
Goals0.47 #833 / 1215 #117 / 164
Assists0.2 #909 / 1215 #126 / 164
Saves1.07 #713 / 1215 #113 / 164
Demos1.33 #203 / 1215 #30 / 164

Season projection

Low confidence

56% of the season is played (15 → ~27 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (52 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 3742 6736 7118 7118 7027 – 7210
Goals 7 13 14 13 10 – 18
Assists 3 5 7 7 4 – 10
Saves 16 29 30 29 24 – 36
Shots 26 47 50 49 42 – 58
Demos 20 36 35 36 29 – 41
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 4

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 0 /100

From 11 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 408.6
Avg boost 53.1
Boost stolen / game 505.6
% time at 0 boost 10.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1407.7
% supersonic 9.7%
% time high in air 4.3%
Avg distance to ball 3079.2
% time attacking third 16.9%
Demos / game 1.3
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 3.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Rival52 0.60.581.19 380
S26Rival11 0.180.270.82 409

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)313119-113 51% 323
Non-RSC ranked 3v3127-2 78% 337
Non-RSC other301112-111 50% 323

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.18 0.38 0.29 – 0.46
Assists/game0.27 0.3 0.23 – 0.38
Saves/game0.82 0.95 0.87 – 1.09
Shots/game1.54 1.58 1.38 – 1.75

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Salty Num Num S23Challenger 0.330.170.58 1.34
Salty Num Num S26Contender 0.310.470.91 1.36
TTV/DucksNotKeys S26Amateur 0.440.331.0 1.51
Light_Lawyer S26Veteran 0.210.361.07 1.57
Pulsa4r S26Contender 0.430.431.1 1.77
Ghostie S21Rival 0.420.421.08 1.86
CrucialUrchin S26Contender 0.520.291.14 1.87
Salty Num Num S24Prospect 0.580.260.95 1.91
Chung S25Rival 0.30.31.07 1.92
Chung S21Rival 0.270.461.09 1.93

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.